Crypto Technical & Fundamental Analysis

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1️⃣ Context First (Non-Negotiable)

Even when trading 1m, higher TF controls the flow.

Required HTF bias (check before every session):

  • 15m / 5m trend → bullish, bearish, or range

  • Session → London / NY = real liquidity, Asia = chop

  • Key HTF levels → prior day high/low, session high/low, VWAP

👉 Rule:
If 5m is trending up, you only short at premium + confirmation.
If ranging, you fade extremes, not mid-range.

2️⃣ Market Structure on 1-Minute (The Core Edge)

🔹 Bullish Structure (Continuation Day)

  • Price prints HH → HL

  • Pullbacks respect VWAP / 20–50 EMA

  • Break → retrace → continuation

Confirmation:

  • Strong displacement candles (wide body, little wick)

  • Pullback volume decreases

  • RSI holds above 40–45

🔹 Bearish Structure

  • LL → LH

  • Pullbacks fail at VWAP or EMA

  • Breakdown + weak bounce

Confirmation:

  • Breakdown candle closes below structure

  • Retest shows rejection wick

  • RSI fails below 60

🔹 Range / Chop (Most Traders Die Here ☠️)

  • Equal highs / equal lows

  • Fake breakouts both sides

  • EMA tangled

👉 Only trade range extremes, never middle.

3️⃣ Liquidity & Stop Hunts (This Is Where Money Is Made)

On BTC 1m, price hunts stops every few minutes.

Common Liquidity Pools:

  • Equal highs / equal lows

  • Previous candle highs/lows

  • Session high / low

  • Psychological levels (00, 50)

High-Probability Pattern:

  1. Price sweeps liquidity (fast wick)

  2. Immediate rejection

  3. Structure shift on 1m

  4. Entry on pullback

🧠 If liquidity is NOT taken, continuation is weaker.

4️⃣ Indicators (Used Properly, Not Like Retail)

📊 VWAP (King Indicator)

  • Above VWAP → bullish intraday bias

  • Below VWAP → bearish

  • VWAP retest = A+ setup

📉 EMA Stack (20 / 50)

  • Trending → clean separation

  • Chop → braided (don’t trade)

📈 RSI (Momentum Filter)

  • Bull trend: RSI 40–80

  • Bear trend: RSI 20–60

  • Divergence at liquidity = reversal signal

🔊 Volume

  • Breakout must have expansion

  • Low volume break = fake

5️⃣ Entry Models (Use These Only)

🔥 Model 1: Trend Continuation (Best RR)

  • HTF bullish

  • 1m BOS

  • Pullback to VWAP / 20 EMA

  • Entry on bullish close

SL: Below pullback low
TP: Previous high → runner to next liquidity

🧲 Model 2: Liquidity Sweep Reversal

  • Equal highs/lows taken

  • Rejection wick

  • 1m CHoCH

  • Entry on retrace

SL: Above sweep wick
TP: VWAP → opposite range extreme

⚠️ Model 3: Breakdown Retest

  • Clean support break

  • Retest fails

  • Entry on rejection

SL: Above retest high
TP: Measured move / liquidity pool

6️⃣ Risk Management (This Is Why You Survive)

  • Risk per trade: 0.25%–0.5% max

  • Max trades per session: 5–7

  • After 2 losses: stop trading (revenge kills)

🧠 On 1m, win rate > RR fantasies.
Even 1:1 with 60% WR prints money.

7️⃣ Common 1-Minute Killers 🚫

  • Trading mid-range

  • Entering before liquidity sweep

  • Ignoring VWAP

  • Overtrading chop

  • Trading Asia like NY

8️⃣ Daily Routine (Pro Flow)

  1. Mark PDH / PDL / VWAP

  2. Wait for liquidity

  3. Trade ONLY your model

  4. Journal screenshots

  5. Stop when green ✅


BTC FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FORMULA

Think of it as Bias → Timing → Execution

1️⃣ FUNDAMENTAL BIAS FORMULA (Directional Filter)

Fundamentals do NOT give entries on 1m — they give permission.

🔹 BTC Intraday Fundamental Bias

FUNDAMENTAL BIAS =
( Macro Sentiment + USD / DXY + Rates + News Risk )

How to use it (simple):

  • Bullish bias if:

    • Risk-ON (stocks green, DXY down)

    • No negative crypto news

  • Bearish bias if:

    • Risk-OFF (stocks red, DXY up)

    • ETF / regulation / liquidation news

  • Neutral if:

    • High-impact news soon → trade lighter or wait

👉 Rule:

  • Bullish bias → favor longs

  • Bearish bias → favor shorts

  • Neutral → scalp ranges only

⚠️ Never fight news momentum on 1m.

2️⃣ HIGHER-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL BIAS (Structure Control)

This controls direction.

HTF BIAS =
Market Structure (5m/15m)
+ VWAP position
+ PDH / PDL

Formula:

  • Bullish HTF

    • HH + HL

    • Price above VWAP

  • Bearish HTF

    • LL + LH

    • Price below VWAP

  • Range

    • Equal highs/lows

    • VWAP flat

👉 Rule:
If HTF is bullish → only take A+ shorts at liquidity
If HTF is bearish → same logic for longs

3️⃣ LIQUIDITY FORMULA (The Engine)

Price moves from liquidity → liquidity

LIQUIDITY TARGETS =
Equal Highs/Lows
+ Session High/Low
+ Previous Candle High/Low
+ Round Numbers (00 / 50)

Core Principle:

No liquidity taken = low-quality trade

4️⃣ 1-MIN TECHNICAL EXECUTION FORMULA (Entry Logic)

This is the actual trade trigger.

ENTRY =
Liquidity Sweep
+ 1m Structure Shift (CHoCH / BOS)
+ Confirmation Candle

Confirmation = at least 2 of these:

  • Strong displacement candle

  • Volume expansion

  • RSI shift (below → above 40 for longs, above → below 60 for shorts)

  • Rejection wick

5️⃣ INDICATOR ALIGNMENT FORMULA (Filters Only)

Indicators confirm, they don’t predict.

CONFIRMATION =
VWAP
+ 20/50 EMA
+ RSI
+ Volume

Rules:

  • Longs:

    • Above VWAP

    • EMA holding as support

    • RSI > 40

  • Shorts:

    • Below VWAP

    • EMA acting as resistance

    • RSI < 60

6️⃣ RISK & TRADE MANAGEMENT FORMULA (Survival)

POSITION SIZE =
(Account Risk %) ÷ (Stop Loss Distance)

Hard rules:

  • Risk per trade: 0.25–0.5%

  • RR target: 1:1 → 1:2

  • After 2 losses → stop

👉 On 1m, consistency > home runs

7️⃣ FULL BTC DAY TRADING FORMULA (One Line)

TRADE =
Fundamental Bias
+ HTF Structure
+ Liquidity Taken
+ 1m Structure Shift
+ Indicator Confirmation
+ Defined Risk

If one element is missing → NO TRADE

8️⃣ PRO TRADER CHECK (Before Clicking Buy/Sell)

Ask yourself:

  • Am I trading with bias?

  • Was liquidity taken?

  • Is this at VWAP / extreme, not middle?

  • Is my SL logical, not emotional?

If yes → execute 😎
If no → wait (waiting is a position)

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